[過去ﾛｸﾞ] 【調査】 今年の１０大リスク、５位に「日本」。「鳩山政権は脆弱で経済も深刻。参院選では民主党が勝利するだろう」…米調査会社 (620ﾚｽ)

【調査】 今年の１０大リスク、５位に「日本」。「鳩山政権は脆弱で経済も深刻。参院選では民主党が勝利するだろう」…米調査会社 http://daily.5ch.net/test/read.cgi/newsplus/1262659568/

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5: 名無しさん＠十周年 [] 2010/01/05(火) 11:47:54 ID:eio/8zOV0 いや阿呆です http://daily.5ch.net/test/read.cgi/newsplus/1262659568/5

63: 名無しさん＠十周年 [] 2010/01/05(火) 12:10:23 ID:eio/8zOV0 5 - Japan What happens when the ruling party loses power in a one-party state? You get a zero-party state. That has effectively happened in Japan, and it’s hard to overstate the importance of the sweeping political change--indeed it’s unprecedented for a major industrial democracy. The new Democratic Party of Japan’s (DPJ) efforts to limit the influence of bureaucrats and industrialists are creating higher policy risk, especially after upper house elections in the summer. Currently Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama is holding back on that agenda given coalition and electoral constraints. But indications are that the DPJ would stick with its electoral mandate and not continue its present more cautious policy positions if it gains control of the upper house. Given Japan’s extraordinary fiscal constraints, that’s going to be tough to pull off, particularly since the sidelining of senior technocrats makes it much more difficult to put flesh on the bones of DPJ policy goals. The real power in the DPJ regime is long-time party boss Ichiro Ozawa, who, himself tainted by scandal, remains outside the cabinet and so behind the formal policy scene. It’s quite possible that Hatoyama won’t last the year. He’s not a skillful campaigner nor an effective decision-maker, and has a scandal of his own around his neck. Insiders are already looking to someone like Deputy Prime Minister Naoto Kan or even the more youthful and policy-savvy Kazuhiro Haraguchi to take Hatoyama’s place--even before the upper house elections. http://daily.5ch.net/test/read.cgi/newsplus/1262659568/63

80: 名無しさん＠十周年 [] 2010/01/05(火) 12:15:37 ID:eio/8zOV0 （続き） If so, regardless of the merits of the actual successor, the DPJ will appear to be simply a continuation of the post-koizumi era succession of weak governments, but this time without the benefit of a strong unified bureaucracy to guide policy and with a much more worrisome economic situation. Meanwhile, uncertainty over how 2010 will play out for the DPJ and the party’s less favorable disposition toward the business community is likely to harm financial confidence, deepening economic woes. Some pundits worry that the United States will replicate Japan’s lost decade. For 2010, the greater risk is that Japan might be starting another one. http://daily.5ch.net/test/read.cgi/newsplus/1262659568/80

107: 名無しさん＠十周年 [] 2010/01/05(火) 12:25:01 ID:eio/8zOV0 日本の高齢化率が２０２５年まで上がりっぱなしということだから １９８５年から約４０年近く落ちていくんじゃないの。 そのころには東アジアも急速な高齢化でガタガタになるから 日本のほうがアドバンテージがつく http://daily.5ch.net/test/read.cgi/newsplus/1262659568/107

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